Fateful Steps That Led to the Crisis in Ukraine (Part One) by Thomas Riggins

The current crisis in the Ukraine has a long prehistory.

The crisis that struck Ukraine last year-- the overthrow of the elected president, the Russian annexation of Crimea, the rebellion in the Russian speaking eastern provinces— was the result of problems that had been festering, not only in Ukraine but all along the former frontiers of the USSR since the end of the cold war and the collapse of eastern European socialism over twenty some years previously. 

 

There were many pressure points and areas of potential conflict along this defunct border. Over the years they became more and more exacerbated mainly as a result of the triumphalist attitude of the US and its allies over the end of the Cold War which they considered as a "victory" of their side over the Russians and their allies.

 

Meanwhile the Russians and their remaining close allies had considered the end of the Cold War as a cooperative undertaking in which, with western help, the leadership of the USSR would dismantle the Warsaw Pact and replace state socialism with a European style market economy thus eliminating the threat of nuclear war and allowing for the eventual flourishing of a united European civilization stretching from the Atlantic to the Pacific.

 

The "we won, you lost" attitude assumed by the US (and its NATO puppet) along with the EU has led to economic and political actions the Russians and their allies believe threaten their interests and rights. This is the theses of professor Richard Sakwa of Kent University (UK) in his new book Frontline Ukraine. This article will attempt to highlight the fateful steps that have led to the current crisis as professor Sakwa annunciated them (any misinterpretations or errors are mine).

 

One of the major steps was the growth of NATO right up to borders of Russia after the Russians had been given assurances by the US that that would not happen. The US now argues that the growth of  NATO  was necessary due to the 

security problems along its borders. This overlooks the fact that it is the new borders that are the location of these problems. As Sakwa puts it, “NATO’s existence became justified by the needs to manage the security threats provoked by its enlargement.” This kind of mendacious logic is typical of the US ’s (and to a lesser extent the EU’s) dealings with Russia. Echoed by the corporate media in the US, it is one of the main reasons the American people are ignorant of the true causes of the Ukraine crisis and for their antipathy toward Russia.

 

The reason there are so many problems between the US (and its satellites) and Russia is because there are many systemic contradictions between them left over from the end of the Cold War and there has been little, if any, attempt by the West to  seriously try to resolve them by good faith negotiations. When a problem boils over, as in the Ukraine (and earlier in Georgia), all the blame is put on Russia and the solution is framed as the need for the US and the West to make the Russians back down. This, Sakwa points out, only makes the contradictions between the interests of the Russians and the US side worse. 

 

A major consideration with regard to the West’s relations with Russia is that after the collapse of the USSR Russia was economically in turmoil and politically weak. The West could pretty much do as it wanted as Russia, as well as Ukraine, were dominated by corruption, oligarchs calling the shots, and the need to concentrate on internal problems not foreign affairs.

 

Russia  was able to economically benefit during the early years of the 2000s, due to high profits of oil, and Putin was able, despite democratic short comings, to curtail the power of the oligarchs, reassert state ownership in many strategic areas of the economy, and reinvigorate the Russian economy and state. This allowed the Russians to reengage in foreign affairs and begin to reassert their perceived interests vis a vis those of the West once they realized it was not part of the West’s intentions to work in partnership with them to peacefully resolve contradictions to the mutual benefit of all concerned. If not a cold war the US was starting a “Cool War.” In contrast Ukraine remained mired in corruption and the control of oligarchs

despite a democratic facade.

 

Another important point made by Sakwa concerns the makeup of the Ukrainian nation. There are two contradictory views which he calls the monistic and pluralistic views. In short, the monistic view, held by the Ukrainian government and the ultra nationalist faction which dominates western Ukraine is that the country is a unique cultural whole bound together by its national language which has its own historical destiny to fulfill as part of the European continuum and is thus more closely bound to the EU than to Russia which is seen as an alien foreign influence.

 

The pluralistic view, which dominates in the eastern Russian speaking Ukraine, maintains that the peoples of Russia, Belarus and Ukraine are related by a common cultural ancestry born of their participation in a common early state and religion (orthodox Christianity since 988 AD). The common state (Kievian Rus) was destroyed by the Mongol invasion in 1240, nevertheless the common cultural unity persists and the three peoples are more closely bound to one another than to the EU and its people. This is admittedly simplified and Sakwa will expand upon it later.

 

Surveys and polls show that as late as 2005 around 67% of eastern Russian speaking Ukrainians identified with Ukraine as their country and there was no great feeling to join with Russia or become independent. There were major problems, however, which included worries and complaints about the status and use of Russian, negative attitudes towards NATO and no desire to identify with Europe and the West at the expense of Russia. 

 

All of these issues could have been dealt with democratically within Ukraine by means of parliamentary processes and constitutional guarantees. What has led to the present crisis in Ukraine was the perception by the Russian speaking east that the undemocratic overthrow of the elected government in February 2014 brought to power ultra-nationalist forces that were seeking to force their views on the east and that eastern concerns, beliefs, and rights were being ignored and even abrogated.

 

This eastern crisis is a separate issue from the Crimea. The Russians in the Crimea were never happy about being separated from Russia due to the fact that in 1954 the USSR transferred the area to Ukrainian administration for purposes of cost efficiency. No one then even dreamed of the possibility that the Crimea would be cut off from Russia in an independent Ukraine. Sakwa points out that the Crimea, after all, "is the heartland of Russian nationhood." 

 

 

The annexation of the peninsula  by Russia was welcomed by the majority of people living there and while its return to its motherland set off the storm that has now descended upon US and European relations with Russia (totally provoked by the West and its backing of the overthrow of the constitutional government of Ukraine) it is unlikely to be reversed. The issues in the eastern provinces of Ukraine have to be settled independently of those of the Crimea which is now a part of Russia and likely to remain so. (To be continued.)

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  • The remarks by Walker seem strange and out of joint. The US and its "color revolutions" do not seem to me the actions of a passive bystander. Neither do the admissions and actions of Victoria Nuland of the US State Dept. preceding the coup, with Nazi involvement, that overthrew of the elected leader of the Ukraine. Our moves against Russia are so blatant and fraught with peril that leading European nations like Germany and France are having second thoughts about following the US to the abyss. Obama also seems to be having second thoughts, perhaps not wanting to further alienate our European junior partners.

    Posted by John Mackoviak, 03/26/2015 4:19pm (9 years ago)

  • Thanks Tom for a reasonable analysis As for the comment,I really don't know what "Walker" is talking about. In so far as anyone is dealing seriously with capitalist definitions of "democracy," it is Tom. The Kiev government seized power and has not only ordinary fascists but Nazi fascists within its ranks
    The Soviet Union was dismembered and its socialist economy largely privatized. Then everything is really up for grabs. The "west" meaning the U.S NAt0 bloc, is now all over the world including the former Soviet Republics. What the U.S. NAT0 bloc wants from Russia, a very weak rump Russia, is its natural resources(on their terms) and its still potent military powwer There are millions of ethnic Russians who have become foreigners in their own countries, which were former Soviet Republics. Tom is no "apologist" for Putin and Russia. As for the corruption, which no one denies, Lester Thurow summed it up best in the early Yeltsin years when he said, "what they call corruption, we call capitalism." Given the conditions under which the Russian capitalist class came into existence, that is, the alliance of black marketeers and Soviet functionaries in effect dismantling the public economy, what could one really expect.

    Posted by norman markowitz, 03/23/2015 6:17pm (9 years ago)

  • You and all the Russian apologists seem to continuously make the same errors in your analysis. To clarify, yes, the US attitude to Russia was triumphantist. Additional help could and should have been provided to help Russia transition to a more Western economy with true democracy. But lets be realistic about this. Help could only have happened if it was wanted. The window of when this was possible was extremely short and would only have been possible during the Yetsin years. Would more help have feasibly made a difference? I am not convinced. Yetsin was weak and underlings started to take advantage for personal gain. Yeltsin himself was likely corrupted by the quick gains possible by selling off public assets to corporations. If these assets were sold to global corporations, I would say the west was more responsible, but this did not happen. The corruption was almost totally internal, so it is really questionable what help the west could have provided.

    Then next mistake you make is accepting Russian narrative of NATO pushing closer to Russia without caring of Russian sensitivities. This is clearly incorrect. Obviously there were financial reasonings for Eastern Countries to join EU. But what about NATO? Were they courted by NATO, or did they have any financial gain to join NATO? No, there wasnt. These countries did so because they felt that their protection was better served with the West than with Russia or independent. Russian senstivities should be considered and treated carefully, but they do not have sovereignty over those countries and do not have the power to decide what alliances they can make. In otherwords, work with Russia should have happened to ensure that Russia understands that NATO is not against Russia, and the incoporation of additional ex Soviet states were not attempts to hedge Russia but to solidify Europe to ensure that wars in Europe are a thing of the past. It is quite good at this as now war in Europe is not caused by any NATO nation, but threatened from Russia itself.

    Posted by Walker, 03/22/2015 9:38pm (9 years ago)

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